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Wagner Group to Bolster Hezbollah, Which Means the Middle East War Is About to Get Bigger

by Publius
November 2, 2023
in Opinions, Original
Russian SA-22

There is only one reason Hezbollah in Lebanon would want antiaircraft weapons to be supplied to them from a Russian paramilitary group. They intend to attack Israel from the north, creating a two-front war with Israel already embroiled in an invasion of Gaza to the south.

Unnamed U.S. officials have said that Wagner Group, a Russian paramilitary organization, intends to supply the Lebanese militia Hezbollah with an air-defense system. This information is based on intelligence reports. The system in question, the Russian SA-22, employs antiaircraft missiles and air-defense guns to intercept aircraft.

While the U.S. has not yet confirmed the delivery of the system, officials are closely monitoring discussions between Wagner Group and Hezbollah. The possible transfer of the air-defense system is a matter of significant concern to U.S. officials.

Wagner Group has played a crucial role in supporting Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, who is allied with Russian President Vladimir Putin. In Syria, the group’s troops have been instrumental in bolstering Assad’s regime.

The saber rattling has been ongoing from Iran and their proxies ever since the Hamas terrorist attack on Israel on October 7. But it appears escalation is very likely which means the United States could be drawn into the conflict. And that may be exactly what Russia wants. Wagner Group’s affiliation with Russia has been in jeopardy for months, but Russian President Vladimir Putin has tried to coral the group during their ongoing war with Ukraine.

While Wagner Group’s efforts in Ukraine were often forced, the Middle East is right up their alley. Their presence in Syria and other Middle Eastern nations has kept them pertinent for Russia’s greater global plans and a protracted, broad conflict in the region would play on their strengths. They have already operated side-by-side with Hezbollah in Syria. Working with them in Lebanon on Israel’s northern front may be the catalyst for a much larger war.

The reported intelligence regarding Wagner’s intentions comes at a time of wider apprehension over Hezbollah, an Iranian-backed militia, potentially opening a northern front against Israel. To counter this, the U.S. has deployed an aircraft carrier in the Eastern Mediterranean as a deterrent against Hezbollah and Iran.

Hezbollah’s leader, Hassan Nasrallah, is expected to deliver a speech on Friday, marking his first public comments since the recent hostilities between Hamas and Israel. Analysts will closely analyze his speech for any indications of Hezbollah’s intentions to join the conflict.

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As Michael Snyder from End of the American Dream noted, Hezbollah appears to be headed into war:

Is Hezbollah on the Verge of Entering the War in the Middle East?

There are all sorts of rumors floating around on social media that Hezbollah is about to join the war in the Middle East.  In this article, I am going to go over what has been confirmed and what has not been confirmed.  If Hezbollah chooses to enter the war, things are going to get really crazy.  The terror organization has approximately 100,000 highly trained fighters, and it possesses well over 100,000 missiles.  If thousands upon thousands of missiles start raining down on Tel Aviv and other Israeli cities, the response by the IDF will be overwhelmingly forceful.  In other words, we could be about to witness a truly apocalyptic scenario play out right in front of our eyes.

On Wednesday, Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amirabdollahian told the entire world that there will be “harsh consequences” if a ceasefire in Gaza does not happen immediately…

Iran’s Foreign Minister Hossein Amirabdollahian warned on Wednesday of “harsh consequences” if attacks continue on the Gaza Strip, the latest in a series of warnings from the country, which backs Hamas in Gaza and militias elsewhere in the region.

“If an immediate ceasefire doesn’t take place in Gaza Strip and the rapid attacks by U.S. and Zionist Regime continue then the consequences would be harsh,” he said in Ankara.

So what would “harsh consequences” look like?

That is a very good question.

If the Iranians plan to take more direct action, one of the first things that is likely to happen is that Hezbollah will officially enter the war.

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Of course there has already been constant fighting along the northern border.  Since October 7th, 47 Hezbollah fighters have been killed in clashes with the IDF…

With dozens of Hezbollah fighters killed in three weeks of border clashes with Israel, the Lebanese group is working to stem its losses as it prepares for the possibility of a drawn-out conflict, three sources familiar with its thinking said.

The Iran-backed group has lost 47 fighters to Israeli strikes at Lebanon’s frontier since its Palestinian ally Hamas and Israel went to war on Oct. 7 – about a fifth of the number killed in a full-scale war between Hezbollah and Israel in 2006.

But what we have seen so far is just small potatoes compared to what would happen if Hezbollah officially joins the war. What that happens, the entire world will know it because vast numbers of missiles will start raining down on Israel.

In recent hours, I have seen all sorts of rumors on social media that Hezbollah has warned that it will join the war if the fighting in Gaza does not end by Friday.  Here is just one example…

HEZBOLLAH & IRAN informed America that they have until Friday morning (before Seyyed Hassan Nasrallah’s speech) to end the aggression against Gaza, or else they will enter into a direct and open war with the entire resistance axis and there will be no going back.

I have not been able to find any confirmation of this rumor from any mainstream source.

But it is true that Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah is scheduled to give a major speech on Friday…

Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah is set to deliver a speech on Friday, his first public address since the start of the war between Israel and Hamas.

The speech is scheduled for 3 p.m. Israel time, during a ceremony to honor the “martyrs who died on the road to Jerusalem,” according to pro-Hezbollah news outlet Al Mayadeen.

And it is being reported that the head of Iran’s elite Quds Force has landed in Beirut…

Brigadier General Esmail Qaani, the leader of Iran’s elite Quds Force, landed in Beirut this Tuesday. According to Lebanon’s Nidaa al-Watan newspaper, this isn’t his first visit since the Gaza war erupted.

The timing is noteworthy, as it precedes a significant speech by Hezbollah’s chief, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah.

His arrival could definitely be an indication that something is up.

But we will just have to wait and see if anything changes on Friday or the days immediately following.

If Hezbollah does decide to pull the trigger and join the war, there is going to be a tremendous amount of death and destruction. In recent articles, I have stated that Hezbollah possesses an arsenal of 130,000 missiles.

That is actually the most conservative number that is floating around out there, and that is why I have been using it. But I have also seen estimates of 150,000, 180,000 and 200,000.

Nobody in the western world actually knows the true number, but everyone agrees that it is very large. And Iran has been feeding Hezbollah even more missiles on a continual basis for a very long time. Of course Israel possesses very sophisticated anti-missile systems, but they can only handle so many missiles at a time.

If Hezbollah starts launching thousands of missiles at Israeli cities, most of them will get through.

Heaven's Harvest

Could this be what I saw on the morning of April 17th, 2022?  In my book entitled “End Times”, I shared what I was shown…

With all that being said, I would like to share what I was shown about Israel on the morning of April 17th, 2022.

This was an experience that I had while asleep, but it was qualitatively different from a normal dream.  Those that have similar experiences know what I am talking about.

In this experience, I saw an endless barrage of missiles being fired at Israel during what seemed to be a major war in the Middle East.  The missiles were being launched in rapid fire fashion, and it kind of reminded me of some of the footage that I have seen from Ukraine.

I did not see where the missiles landed.  I also did not see the death and destruction that they caused.

Of course Israel has very advanced anti-missile systems, and so perhaps a lot of these missiles were being intercepted.  I was not shown any of that.

My perspective was from the side of those firing the missiles.  There seemed to be a lot of emotion.  It appeared to me that the goal was to inflict as much damage upon Israel as possible.

These missiles were not being fired from a vast distance away.  Rather, they all seemed to be coming from other nations or terror groups in the Middle East.

And in my dream I had the impression that there were more missiles pointed at the land of Israel than anywhere else on the globe.

Those that were firing all of those missiles were not identified during that experience.

But certainly Hezbollah possesses the kind of firepower that I witnessed.

If Hezbollah chooses to fire thousands of missiles at Israel, the Israelis will respond.

And the response will be even more devastating than the initial attack.

At this point, the Israelis fully understand that this is a fight for national survival.

When Hamas terrorists invaded Israel on October 7th, they were told “to kill every person we see”…

Israel’s Shin Bet released footage on Wednesday of a Hamas terrorist describing his actions in the south of Israel during the October 7 massacre.

“The mission was simply to kill,” said Hamas operative Omar Abu Rusha. “We weren’t supposed to kidnap. Just kill.”

He specified: “[We were told] to kill every person we see and come back.”

The interviewer asked if he was told to make any distinction between men, women, and children. He said he was not.

And a top Hamas official recently stated during a television interview that his organization will do the same thing over and over again until Israel is destroyed.

When there are people that are absolutely determined to kill you, that severely limits your options. There will be no peace with Hamas or Hezbollah. Both organizations are fundamentally committed to wiping out the nation of Israel.

So now the final confrontation between the two sides has begun, and it appears that it could soon reach a cataclysmic stage.

Michael’s new book entitled “End Times” is now available in paperback and for the Kindle on Amazon.com, and you can check out his new Substack newsletter right here.

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Two Storms, One Harvest

Empty Shelves

Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.

What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.

Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.

This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.

Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.

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The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running

While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.

The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.

Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.

The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.

Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.

The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?

The System Has No Slack Left

The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.

Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.

There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.

The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.

What Joseph Knew

Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.

Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.

Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.

Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.

None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.

Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.

Tags: End of the American DreamGazaHamasHezbollahIranIsraelLebanonLedeMiddle EastRussiaSyriaTop StoryWagner GroupWWIII
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