Twenty-six House Democrats have been deemed “vulnerable” in the 2026 midterm elections by the National Republican Congressional Committee, posing a prime opportunity for Republicans to expand their razor thin margin over Democrats in the House.
Five months after Republicans won a government trifecta in 2024, the National Republican Congressional Committee and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee both released lists of at-risk Democrat seats. The lists are extremely similar, showing a growing consensus between parties that many Democrats might be in hot water in 2026.
The lists identify nine freshman lawmakers and 13 representing districts that President Donald Trump carried in the November election.
California hosts the most vulnerable Democrats, with Reps. Josh Harder, Adam Gray, George Whitesides, Derek Tran and Dave Min all viewed to be in danger of losing their seats, according to both the Republican and Democrat campaign committees. Gray, Whitesides and Tran all unseated GOP incumbents in November.
New York also has freshman Democrat lawmakers who flipped Republican seats in 2024, including Reps. Tom Suozzi—who won his seat in a Trump district—Laura Gillen and Josh Riley, who are all predicted to be at risk of losing their positions, the lists say. […]
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