Editor’s Commentary: There is actually only one reason Nikki Haley is staying in the race. She and her handlers believe she can make a play at the convention if Donald Trump is convicted of any of the manufactured charges currently attached to him. She’s betting on lawfare winning out and the UniParty Swamp thinks she’s best positioned to take the reins if they’re successful.
There are other reasons she CAN stay in the race and those are listed below, but a variation of the fifth reason is the underlying cause. If the powers-that-be thought there was no chance they could take Trump out through lawfare or other evil means, then the rest of the reasons would be irrelevant. Nevertheless, it’s good to have an understanding of they dynamic driving her futile efforts.
(The Epoch Times)—Despite suffering a humiliating loss in her home state of South Carolina on Feb. 24 and another in Michigan on Feb. 27, GOP presidential candidate Nikki Haley has vowed to fight on.
Ms. Haley’s campaign said she would stay in the race at least through March 5, Super Tuesday—the biggest primary day comprising 15 states and American Samoa.
Nonetheless, in an interview with The Epoch Times, experts share why Ms. Haley may be staying in the race.
1. Give Voters an Alternative to Biden, Trump
Ms. Haley has repeatedly said that she wants to give the American people a choice that is not President Joe Biden or former President Donald Trump, as desired by a significant proportion of Republicans.
“We can’t afford four more years of Biden’s failures or Trump’s lack of focus,” said Ms. Haley, citing issues such as the national debt, economy, education, wars abroad, and the border and fentanyl crisis. She also remarked that the two are divisive.
After all, “it may be that Haley simply wants to hammer home the point that many GOP voters are still looking for an alternative,” David Redlawsk, a political science and international affairs professor at the University of Delaware, told The Epoch Times.
“She wants to give Republican voters in all remaining states a choice, not just voters in the first few states,” said Aubrey Jewett, a political science professor at the University of Central Florida.
“This is the ‘democracy’ argument—that elections without choices are undemocratic and the people that don’t get to vote until March or April or May are just as deserving of having choices as those in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada,” he added.
In the last three primary contests, Ms. Haley racked up between 26 percent to 40 percent of the votes President Trump would need to win the general election. But in the two contests where Ms. Haley won around 40 percent, a sizable portion of them have been Democrats and independents, as New Hampshire was a semi-open primary and South Carolina was an open primary.
Additionally, polling shows that a majority of voters do not want a Biden-Trump rematch. According to a Reuters/Ipsos poll, 67 percent of those surveyed are “tired of seeing the same candidates in presidential elections and want someone new.”
2. She Has the Campaign Funding
Ms. Haley has the funding to sustain a campaign. It even raised more than $1 million in the 24 hours after the double-digit defeat in South Carolina, according to the campaign.
Ms. Haley, an accountant, has run a fiscally disciplined campaign, unlike former Gov. Ron DeSantis, who burned through cash. She held fundraisers over the past several weeks, garnering millions of dollars.
After all, continuing in a race depends on having the money and resources to do so, said Mr. Jewett.
Moreover, “she’s on the ballot where she’s going to be on the ballot,” GOP strategist Matt Dole told The Epoch Times.
“She doesn’t need to spend any money if she doesn’t want to spend it,” he added.
However, the funding has not been all positive.
First, President Trump’s campaign has significantly more cash than Ms. Haley’s.
Second, the Koch Network aligned-Americans for Prosperity (AFP) Action announced on Feb. 25 that it would cut off its funding for Ms. Haley’s campaign, which the largest conservative grassroots organization in the United States endorsed in November.
After Ms. Haley’s loss in South Carolina, AFP Action decided to “take stock” of the circumstances and concluded that no “outside group can make a material difference to widen her path to victory.”
“Losing AFP Action’s support certainly makes it harder to get her message out for Super Tuesday in any case,” said Mr. Redlawsk.
“The AFP’s decision to turn off the spigot of funding for Nikki Haley will, as it turns out, have the same effect as turning that spigot on: Nikki Haley at home after the convention deciding what’s next for a wounded political brand,” said Mr. Dole.
In a statement, Ms. Haley’s campaign expressed appreciation for AFP Action’s support and called the group an “ally in the fight for freedom and conservative government.”
3. Position Herself for 2028
As Ms. Haley’s path to the GOP nod this year has all but closed, there is the possibility of her running for the White House in 2028. If President Biden or President Trump won in November, both would be ineligible for reelection. In 2028, President Biden will be 86 years old, while President Trump will be 81.
If Ms. Haley were to run in four years, she would have millions of dollars ready to hit the ground running. In addition to her own campaign funds, Ms. Haley has two super political action committees or super PACs—Stand for America PAC and SFA Fund Inc.—both of which will likely fundraise even after she drops out of the campaign—an inevitable move. Ms. Haley’s PACs fundraised even before she entered the race in February 2023.
Granted, what the GOP will look like in 2028 will be determined as four years is a lifetime in politics. And the Trump wing of the party may not dictate the direction of the party, said Mr. Jewett.
“Perhaps she also thinks this has the potential to position her in some way for 2028,” said Mr. Redlawsk.
4. Establish Herself as the Leader of the Anti-Trump GOP
Ms. Haley appeared to establish herself as the leader of the GOP wing of the Republican Party that does not support President Trump—a significant plurality whom the former president will mathematically need to win in November.
“Nearly every day, Trump drives people away,” she said in her speech after her defeat in South Carolina.
But “along with the departure of Ronna McDaniel as head of the RNC, the GOP remains solidly the party of Trump,” Daniel Cronrath, a professor in the government department at Florida State University at Jacksonville, told The Epoch Times.
Nonetheless, said Mr. Cronrath, “Most of Haley’s support is coming from so-called Never Trump Republicans and independents“ as ”Haley may be positioning herself as the future leader of a post-Trump GOP assuming Trump’s form of populism erodes, and there is a reset.”
However, Ms. Haley possibly “thinks this has the potential to position her in some way for 2028,” said Mr. Redlawsk.
Moreover, Mr. Redlawsk added: “By 2028, it will likely be a different environment, and she may be showing that she has some strength even with Trump around.
“In some ways, I agree it doesn’t seem like a great strategy, but at a minimum, she may be building credibility with the non-Trump wing of the party, which may be a significant factor in 2028, especially if Trump loses in 2024.”
Furthermore, said Mr. Jewett, “She wants to represent the anti-Trump wing of the party.”
Mr. Jewett went on to note that “according to polls, there is a block of Republicans who have indicated that they do not like Trump, and so her candidacy may represent their views and fight back against the idea that the Republican Party and Donald Trump’s campaign are one in the same entity.”
Indeed, he added: “She is playing the long game and positioning herself for a future run in 2028 after Trump is off the political stage.
“She might feel that staying in the race will make her the frontrunner next time around. She is gambling that staying in the race will not permanently alienate the current Trump base that makes up the majority of voters.”
In the meantime, “the media is covering her more and in a more friendly way as an anti-Trump candidate than they were before Iowa,” said Mr. Dole.
5. Wait Out Trump’s Legal Battles
President Trump has been indicted in Manhattan, Georgia, and two federal cases, totaling 91 charges. He has pleaded not guilty to all the charges.
However, President Trump could secure the 1,215 delegates needed to be the GOP nominee by the end of Super Tuesday and, therefore, before the trials begin, according to an analysis by The Epoch Times.
But were President Trump to fall short of the magic number and be convicted, it could change the dynamics of the race. According to a Reuters/Ipsos poll, 55 percent of Republicans would not support the former president if he is found guilty. Even congressional Republicans reportedly said they could not or might not support him were he to be convicted.
Nonetheless, in the event Republicans abandon President Trump in response to a conviction, Ms. Haley could be in a prime position to be the nominee, given the funding she has and the campaign infrastructure in place. While those who suspended their campaign could jump back in, it would likely take time to get their bands back together and campaign in the remaining primary states.
“If Trump were to experience a drop in support given his potential legal woes, the GOP could have a contested convention where Haley and others battle for the nomination,” said Mr. Cronrath. “The 1976 Republican National Convention was the last election in which either party did not have their candidates selected prior to the convention.”
Image by Gage Skidmore via Flickr, CC BY-SA 2.0 DEED
Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.
